ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE (ANOVA)
In chapter 2, testing equality means of two normal populations
based on independent small samples was discussed. When the number of
populations is more than 2, those methods cannot be applied.
ANOVA is used when we want to test the equality of means of more
than two populations. For example, through ANOVA, one may compare the average
yield of several varieties of a crop or average mileages of different brands of
cars.
ANOVA cannot be used in all situations and for all types of
variables. It is based on certain assumptions, and they are listed below:
1. The observations follow normal distribution.
2. The samples are independent.
3. The population variances are equal and
unknown.
According to R.A. Fisher ANOVA is the “Separation of variance,
ascribable to one group of causes from the variance ascribable to other
groups”.
The data may be classified with respect to different levels of a
single factor/or different levels of two factors.
The former is called one-way classified data and the latter is
called two-way classified data.
Applications of ANOVA technique to these kinds of data are
discussed in the following sections.
One-way ANOVA
ANOVA is a statistical technique used to determine whether
differences exist among three or more population means.
In one-way ANOVA the effect of one factor on the mean is tested.
It is based on independent random samples drawn from k – different
levels of a factor, also called treatments.
The following notations are used in one-way ANOVA. The data can be
represented in the following tabular structure.
xij - the j th sample value
from the ith treatment, j = 1, 2, …,ni, i =1,
2,…,k
k - number of treatments compared.
xi. - the sample total of ith treatment.
ni - the number of observations in the ith treatment.
The total variation in the observations xij can
be split into the following two components
(i) variation between the levels or the
variation due to different bases of classification, commonly known as treatments.
(ii) The variation within the treatments i.e.
inherent variation among the observations within levels.
Causes involved in the first type of variation are known as
assignable causes. The causes leading to the second type of variation are known
as chance or random causes.
The first type of variation that is due to assignable causes, can
be detected and controlled by human endeavor and the second type of variation
that is due to chance causes, is beyond the human control.
Let the observations xij, j = 1, 2, …, ni
for treatment i, be assumed to come from N(μi,
σ2) population, i = 1, 2, …, k where σ2
is unknown.
Step 1 : Framing Hypotheses
Null Hypothesis H0 : μ1 = μ2 = ... = μk
That is, there is no significant difference among the population
means of k treatments.
Alternative Hypothesis
H1: μi≠μj for atleast one pair (i,j);
i, j =1,2,...,k; i ≠ j
That is, at least one pair of means differ significantly.
Step 2 : Data
Data is presented in the tabular form as described in the previous
section
Step 3 : Level of significance : α
Step 4 : Test Statistic
F = MST/MSE which follows F(k-1, n-k),
under H0
To evaluate the test statistic we compute the following:
(iv) Sum of Squares due to Error: SSE = TSS – SST
Degrees of Freedom (d.f)
Mean Sum of Squares
Mean Sum of Squares due to treatment: MST = SST / k −1
Mean Sum of Squares due to Error: MSE = SSE / n – k
Step 5 : Calculation of Test statistic
ANOVA Table (one-way)
Step 6 : Critical value
fe = f(k-1, n-k),α.
Step 7 : Decision
If F0 < f(k-1, n-k),α
then reject H0.
Merits
·
Layout is very simple and easy to understand.
·
Gives maximum degrees of freedom for error.
Demerits
·
Population variances of experimental units for different
treatments need to be equal.
·
Verification of normality assumption may be difficult.
Example 3.4
Three different techniques namely medication, exercises and
special diet are randomly assigned to (individuals diagnosed with high blood
pressure) lower the blood pressure. After four weeks the reduction in each
person’s blood pressure is recorded. Test at 5% level, whether there is
significant difference in mean reduction of blood pressure among the three
techniques.
Solution:
Step 1 : Hypotheses
Null Hypothesis: H0: µ1 = µ2 = µ3
That is, there is no significant difference among the three groups
on the average reduction in blood pressure.
Alternative Hypothesis: H1: μi ≠ μj for atleast one pair (i, j); i, j = 1, 2, 3; i ≠ j.
That is, there is significant difference in the average reduction
in blood pressure in atleast one pair of treatments.
Step 2 : Data
Step 3 : Level of significance α = 0.05
Step 4 : Test statistic
F0 = MST / MSE
Step 5 : Calculation of Test statistic
Step 6 : Critical value
f(2, 12),0.05 = 3.8853.
Step 7 : Decision
As F0 = 9.17 > f(2, 12),0.05 = 3.8853, the null hypothesis is
rejected. Hence, we conclude that there exists significant difference in the
reduction of the average blood pressure in atleast one pair
of techniques.
Example 3.5
Three composition instructors recorded the number of spelling
errors which their students made on a research paper. At 1% level of
significance test whether there is significant difference in the average number
of errors in the three classes of students.
Solution:
Step 1 : Hypotheses
Null Hypothesis: H0 : µ1 = µ2 = µ3
That is there is no significant difference among the mean number
of errors in the three classes of students.
Alternative Hypothesis
H1 : μi ≠ μj for at one pair (i, j);
i,j = 1,2,3; i ≠ j.
That is, atleast one pair of groups differ significantly on the
mean number of errors.
Step 2 : Data
Step 3 : Level of significance α = 5%
Step 4 : Test Statistic
F0 = MST /
MSE
Step 5 : Calculation of Test statistic
Individual squares
ANOVA Table
Step 6 : Critical value
The critical value = f(15, 2),0.05 = 3.6823.
Step 7 : Decision
As F0 = 0.710 < f(15, 2),0.05 = 3.6823, null
hypothesis is not rejected. There is no enough evidence to reject the null
hypothesis and hence we conclude that the mean number of errors
made by these three classes of students are not equal.
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