CHARTING - A TECHNICAL TOOL
Technical
analysts, while defining their own theory about stock price behavior and
criticizing the fundamental school, do feel that there is some merit in the
fundamental analysis also. But according to them, the method is very tedious
and it takes a rather long time for the common man to evaluate stocks through
this method. They consider their own techniques and charts as superior to
fundamental analysis. Some of their theories, techniques and methods of
stock prices are given below:
Concepts Underlying Chart
Analysis
The basic
concepts underlying chart analysis are: (a) persistence of trends; (b)
relationship between volume and trend; and (c) resistance and support levels.
Trends: The key belief of the chartists is that stock prices tend to move
in fairly persistent trends. Stock price behavior is characterized by
inertia: the price movement continues along a certain path (up, down or
sideways) until it meets an opposing force, arising out of an altered
supply-demand relationship.
Relationship
between volume and trends: Chartists believe that
generally volume and trend go hand in hand. When a major upturn begins
the volume of trading increases as the price advances and decreases as the
price declines. In a major down turn, the opposite happens; the volume of
trading increases as the price declines and decreases as the price rallies.
Support and
Resistance levels: Chartists assume that it is
difficult for the price of a share to rise above a certain level called
the resistance level and fall below a certain level called a support level.
Why? The explanation for the first claim goes as follows. If investors find
that prices fall after their purchases, they continue to hang on to their
shares in the hope of a recovery. And when the price rebounds to the level of
their purchase price, they tend to sell and heave sigh of relief as they break
even.
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